Dr Tom Wilson
Dr Tom Wilson

Position

Senior Research Fellow

Contact

Room: 35- 534
Phone: 336- 56515
Email:tom.wilson@uq.edu.au
Web-page: QCPR

Qualifications

  • 2001, PhD in Geography, Leeds University
  • 1998, MA in Human Geography, Sussex University
  • 1996, BA (Hons) in Geography, Leeds University

Research Interests

  • Population projection modelling, especially multistate and probabilistic methods
  • Household trends and projections
  • Migration analysis
  • Demographic estimation techniques
  • State and local demographic trends

Current projects

  • Improved Indigenous population projections for policy and planning (ARC Linkage Project, 2013-16)
  • The long-run decline in Australian internal migration intensities
  • Options for very small area population forecasting
  • Understanding census household data and recent average household size changes in Australia
  • POPART projection model for simplified local area population and household projections
  • POPACTS projection model for simplified State, regional and local area population and household projections
  • POPSTAR projection model version 2 for detailed State, regional and local area projections

Available postgraduate research projects

Please contact Tom if you are interested in undertaking postgraduate research on the following topics:

  • Improving local area population forecasts
  • Sub-national population projections by Indigenous status
  • Quantifying the uncertainty of regional and local population forecasts
  • Developing a spatial model of Australia's continuing demographic transition
  • Why do people move away from Queensland?
  • Improving short-term forecasts of State populations in Australia
  • Understanding regional fertility and mortality differentials and their implications for forecasting
  • Estimating sub-state emigration in Australia
  • Population projections by citizenship/country of birth

Professional associations

Research Students

Principal supervision of PhD students

Recent publications

Wilson T (forthcoming) New population and life expectancy estimates for the Indigenous population of Australia’s Northern Territory, 1966-2011. PLOS ONE.

Wilson T (forthcoming) Simplifying local area population and household projections with POPART. In Hoque N and Potter L (eds) Emerging Techniques in Applied Demography. Springer.

Ueffing P and Wilson T (forthcoming) Estimating historical Total Fertility Rates for Australia and its States. Historical Methods.

Wilson T (2014) New evaluations of simple models for small area population forecasts. Population, Space and Place.

Wilson T and Cooper J (2013) Overview of the new Queensland demographic projection systems. Research note. Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane.

Wilson T (2013) Quantifying the uncertainty of regional demographic forecasts. Applied Geography 42: 108-115.

Wilson T (2013) The sequential propensity household projection model. Demographic Research 28(24): 681-712.

Biddle N and Wilson T (2013) Indigenous population projections in Australia: problems and prospects. Journal of Population Research 30(2): 101-116.

Wilson T (2012) The role of Australia’s extended baby boom in past and future population ageing. New Zealand Population Review 38: 95-109.

Wilson T (2012) Forecast accuracy and uncertainty of Australian Bureau of Statistics state and territory population projections. International Journal of Population Research. Volume 2012.

Wilson T (2012) Which models are best for projecting non-metropolitan SA2 total populations? Report to the Office of Economic and Statistical Research. Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane.

Wilson T (2011) A Review of Sub-Regional Population Projection Methods. Report to the Office of Economic and Statistical Research. Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane.

Wilson T and Rowe F (2011) The forecast accuracy of local government area population projections: a case study of Queensland. Australasian Journal of Regional Studies 17.2: 204-243.

Wilson T and Bell M (2011) Editorial: Advances in local and small-area demographic modelling. Journal of Population Research 28.1-2: 103-107.

Bell M, Wilson T and Charles-Edwards E (2011) Australia’s population future: probabilistic forecasts incorporating expert judgement. Geographical Research 49.3: 261-275.

Wilson T, Charles-Edwards E and Bell M (2011) Australia’s Future Net Overseas Migration: A Survey of Experts. Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane.

Wilson T (2011) Modelling with NEWDSS: producing State, regional and local area population projections for New South Wales. Chapter 4 in Stillwell J and Clarke M (eds) Population Dynamics and Projection Methods: Essays in Honour of Philip Rees. Springer, Dordrecht; 61-97.

Wilson T (2011) A Review of Sub-Regional Population Projection Methods. Report to the Office of Economic and Statistical Research. Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane

Wilson T (2010) Model migration schedules incorporating student migration peaks. Demographic Research 23.8: 191-222.

Bell M, Charles-Edwards E, Wilson T and Cooper J (2010) Demographic futures for South East Queensland. Australian Planner 47.3: 126-134.

Teaching responsibilities

Contributes to:

  • GEOG3205 – Applied Demography

 

Last updated: Apr 15, 2014

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